Saturday, March 12th, 2011...6:05 am
Whitey Longshot Picks for March 12
I have capped 3 tracks today for the wagering public, including you Sammy boy. Note, pay attention to the confidence level of the picks. Most of these picks are longshots so we would only need a couple of them to come in to make a profit. Good Luck !!
Hawthorne
Race 2
Confidence – 6
2 – Swagger Lee – Dueled on closers track in last. Gets lasix. Could wire
3 – Brain Teaze – Respect the drop
6 – Dancing son of a gun – 2nd timestarter drops after troubled start in debut
Race 3
Confidence – 7
5 – Tessie’s Tilbury – Lone speed. Can win on loead today
1 – Rose Mountain – Good horse. Can win
Race 6
Confidence – 3
7 – Shotgun Luke – Last was prep. Pace sets it up for late kick. Thornton riding back good sign.
4 – First Trumpet – Speed of speed
Race 7
Confidence 9
1 – Colorado Trail – Should have won last. Overlay at 10-1
2 – Crafty Cape – Lone speed may wire. Showed speed on closers tack in last. Could be a bomb
11 – Donta – Ran decent vs better
Race 8
Confidence 10 – exacta box
Confidence 8 – WIN and PLACE on 9
9 – Dooney Rock – Bombs away Sammy. Wins if breaks clean.
2 – Boot Tails – Most consistent beyers – like rider switch – Lost to King AJAX two races ago in Key Race
10 – LB Express – Ran big against bias in last. Play in exactas
Tampa Bay
Race 1
Confidence Level – 6
5 – Priceless Memories – 2nd time starter adds lasix. Barn is due.
1 – Learn the Lingo – Drops. Lost to good horse two back – White Merlot.
2 – Always Best – Drops and add blinks – will be on lead at price
8 – Hula Party – Last was prep. Dangerous.
Race 2
Confidence Level – 8
2 – Tanis Dixie Tune – Back class – Can win on turnback
3 – Busy Bev – Speed of speed
Race 3
Confidence Level – 9
4 – Wildcat Miss – Showed promise as Juvenile at Hawthorne – Trouble in last
1 – Three Ways Home – 2nd time tampa beaten favorite angle – Won 2 races while most in here only won once
11 – Ravienetta – Tried Stake – Can wire with speed
Race 5
Confidence Level – 7
2 – Vivo Per Lie – Empire Maker’s always dangerous on turf. Liked Keeneland synthetics. 30% trainer.
5 – Media Madness – Will be deserving favorite
Race 6
Confidence Level – 3
9 – Wicked Tune – Speed of speed
7 – Big Notion – Ran two big ones here at Tampa. Speed duel may set it up for him
Race 8
Confidence Level – 1
9 – Pay the Man – Lone speed can be dangerous
6 – Belle of the Hall – Dominguez may get caught sleeping with top one on lead
Race 10
Confidence Level – 2
7 – Third Chance – Devito smoking hot trainer right now. Speed of speed may get loose.
1 – Miss Smarty Pants – Could get a good trip with Dominguez and rail
4 – Wyaomia – Chance if he likes surface
9 – Her Smile – Improving beyers. Last was set up
Race 11
Confidence Level – 4
6 – Lil Skeletal – Sneaky Turf breeding – been away – Would be a bomb
3 – Its about Image – Will be in garden spot in 2nd flight on rail. Can win at price
5 – Dr Rico – Last was no fluke
9 – On Joline – Lost to good horse last out
Gulfstream
Race 1
Confidence Level – 3
3 – Newfound Desert – Lone speed can win with slow fractions
5 – Dirge – Sheppard always a danger on turf. Back class
Race 2
Confidence Level – 8
1 – Occelli – Stretches out after losing to monster pletcher horse. Bernadini’s love two turns
3 – Bare Necessities – Needed last race. Well bred. Can pull upset.
8 – Charlies Swell – Must use in exactas
Race 5
Confidence Level – 4
7 – Strike the Code – Blinkers will help this one. Love the turf breeding
5 – Hard Rocker – faced much better last time. Bet anything above 5-1
10 – Flexappeal – 2nd time turfer. Showed speed and by underrated turf sire afleet alex
Race 6
Confidence Level – 5
1 – Stephs Sunset – tarrant brings in bombs on turf. Nice turf breeding
14 – Ruthro – Back class. Like stretchout angle
3 – Mutiny – Mott dropper could be dangerous or a dud
Race 10
Confidence Level – 10
7 – Soaring Empire – Speed duel sets it up nice for late kick
2 – Our Dark Knight – Faced some really nice horses in career. Likes gulfstream
5 – Jackson bend – Classy as they come
Race 11
Confidence Level – 5
7 – Walking on Broadway – Firster Bred for the turf. Meets suspect field.
12 – Lovely Lexus – Give this one a 2nd chance. Bad start in sprint, bred for turf.
10 – Hope Restored – Could blow up board
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