Saturday, March 19th, 2011...9:27 am
Whitey Plays for March 19th
We will take a stab at 3 tracks today – Tampa, Hawthorne, and Gulfstream. As astute followers may have noticed from our last week’s pick, Whitey is white hot at Tampa, as he brought in 3 horses between 10 and 20-1 odds. Today we are not as focused on longshots but a few are sprinkled into the mix. Take note of the confidence level assigned to each race. This is indicated by CF. Good luck !!!
Tampa
Race 4 Tampa
CF 10
Race 4 Tampa
6 – News Carrier – 4-1 – This horse has some nice angles working today. Lone speed and drops in condition. Great trainer record at meet.
Race 5 Tampa
Confidence Factor – 2
5 – Maria’s Moon 12-1 – Last was tough race. Faced some toughies at Monmouth last year. Can upset.
Box in exacta with 11 Regina Twain
Race 6 Tampa
CF – 5
1 – Royal Malibu 5-1 – Best Beyers in Field and drops in class. Layoff only question
6 – Peacenik 8-1 – Showed promise at philly as a 3yo. Comes out of key race when he was spent in a speed duel. Trainer only negative
9 – Ride Cowboy Ride 12- 1 – Could be speed of race. Makes 4yo debut after long layoff. Has shown a liking for Tampa surface
Race 8 Tampa
CF – 1
7 – I’m Dancing Too – 30-1 – Last was prep at Gulfstream. Calder invader could be dangerous.
8 – Solar Power 12 -1 – 2nd race at Tampa angle and 2nd race after layoff. Like the positive jockey switch.
2 – Najrain – 2-1 – use in exotics
Race 11 Tampa
CF – 3
8 – Big Gem – 9-2 – Slow start in sprint debut at Gulf. Like the add blinkers and stretchout play here for good trainer
2 – Nehelennia – 15-1 – Makes turf debut. Love the breeding. Trainer has them fit off layoffs
Check also eligible’s 11 and 12 – if in play in exactas
Race 12 Tampa
CF- 7
11 – Western Slew – 6-1 – Drops after showing speed. Makes2nd start at Tampa. Was bet in last.
1 – Magics Runner 12-1 – Lost debut by 86 lengths. Drops from MSW to MCL and first start as 3yo. Powerful angle. Good trainer.
6 – Kitcheman – 7-2 – Use in Exotics
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Hawthorne
Race 6 Hawthorne
CF – 6
4 – Processors Turf – 8-1 – Faced much better in last two.
7 – County Clerk – 8-1 – Likes Hawthorne. Been facing better at Oaklawn
6 – Crack the Cognac – 10-1 May make lead and keep going today.
Race 8 Hawthorne
CF 10
4 – Fear Nor Favor – 12-1 – Like a sprinter stretching out in a field with zero speed. Was overmatched in allowance in last and ran into Tough horse who won his next start two back.
10 – Toccet Roccet – 10-1 – Was a classy horse once – compete in Ill Derby as 3yo. First start in career racing without blinkers so have to give him a shot.
12 – Frank’s Choice 6-1 – Probably will be gunning for lead and would suspect he might be post time favorite.
Race 9 – Hawthorne
CF – 4
10 – Lovie Bear – 6-1 – Ness runner dueled in last.
6 – Black Havoc – 9-2 – Ran decent in MSW last year in only race on dirt. Drop is suspicious
2 – Choctaw Smoke – Didn;t like Tampa – Can improve with Blinkers
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Gulfstream
Race 4
CF3
1 – Sleepless Dixie – 15 -1 – Love the 2yo who competed well in stakes races and then get bet in return as 3yo who probably needed that race and are now primed for a big performance
9 – Mending Hearts – 6-1 – Ran a big one 2 back over surface
5 – Maple Forest – 5-2 – Pletcher runner will be tough to beat
Race 5 – Gulfstream
CF5
3 – New Tomorrow – 4-1 – Ward runner bred for the turf. Trainer excels at turf sprints.
7 – Patient Approval – 12 -1 – If this was a two turn race I would be all over him. Pencil him in for the stretchout next time. Love the turf breeding.
8 – Hollie’s Holiday – 6-1 – Love Harlan Holiday firsters on turf. May need more distance as well.
12 – Hail to the band 8-1 – Rice runners dangerous first on turf. Nice turf breeding.
Race 7 – Gulfstream
CF 4
3 – Heroic Pursuit 12-1 – Lone speed could be dangerous.
4 – Erin Rose – 5-2 – Monster horse will be chalk
5 – Unicorn Girl – 4-1 – Hard to fault a horse that is 9 for 23 lifetime. Love these claimers against NW1X field conditions
Race 8 – Gulfstream
CF 10
9 – Lucas Brady – 5-1 – Gets Lasix today and comes out of key race 3 back – his last race on the turf. Only issue is pace set up.
7 – Our Champion – 12-1 – Class of the field. Class is always king on the turf. Stretchout angle in play.
1 – Lord Justice 6-1 – May try to wire field with slow pace. Can hang around for share.
Race 10 – Gulfstream
CF 9
3 – Valdosta – 20-1 – Had trouble in last two. Was in key races before that at Philly. Bombs away today.
5 – Family Foundation – 5-2 – Likely will go off as chalk. Dropper is dangerous.
6 – Show the Way J – Beaten chalk last out. Use in exotics
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