Saturday, April 9th, 2011...12:37 pm

Degenerate Fund Plays – April 9th

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Whitey Plays  for April 9th

Locks

Race 5 – Hawthorne

#8 Royally Outfoxed  5-1 – Has so many great angles going in this race. One, he is the only speed in the race. Two, he is dropping in class from 10 k down to 5K. Three, he has the best pace and speed figures in the field.  And lastly, he likes Hawthorne with 7 of 11 in the money. Only issue is the zero for 10 trainer. Maybe he wants one bad today. Load up.

$50 to Win 8

Play in exacta with 3 and 7.

Race #3 – Santa Anita

#2 Tanda 4-1 – I’m so confident in this horse I didn’t even handicap the other horses. He is coming off a layoff but Louie’s confidence is sky high in this classy classy animal.

$50 to Win 2

Value Plays

Race 11 – Aqueduct

#6 – RJ Hope 8-1 – Last two on turf were over softer turf and he likes it firm. Has to content with the 1 horse who looks like monster.

$20 to win 6

Race 11 – Gulfstream

#9 Mark’s Soul – 8-1 – Going on more on a hunch here…it’s the Louie bad field first starter horse who has decent turf breeding angle. He doesn’t have to be much of a horse to beat these guys.

$20 to win 9

Race 11 – Tampa

#4 Macho Toro – 5-1 – Likes Tampa and he should get nice set up

$15 to win 4

Race 12 Tampa

#8 Fortissi More –  8-1 – Here is a horse actually jumping up in class but it is actually a class drop. He is going from open 16k claimers to NW3L 32K. Its actually a drop in class because the horses at 16K open are tough ones. Horses with 8 – 10 – 15 wins on the turf. And Now he gets to meet horse who never won 3. He was competitive against allowance types at Aqueduct last year. Play in exacta with the 6 horse – time for Tutt

$20 Win and Place 8

Race 9 Keeneland –

#3 Wyomia 8-1 – Only speed horse in the race won a Stakes at Woodbine as a 2 yo.  Seems well spotted today in a field lacking speed. If Keenland plays fair today and doesn’t favor closers he has a big chance to steal it on the lead.

$20 to win and Place 3

Race 9 Hawthorne

#5 – Prospective Union – 10-1 Shipper from fairgrounds is taking a hidden class drop and is only speed in the race

$15 Win and Place 5

Longshots

Race 8 – Aqueduct

8 – Independence War – 30-1 Claimed by a 30% trainer last race and is already 2 for 4 at meet. Should get nice pace set up and will be closing

$15 Win and Place 8

6 – Yawanna Twist – 12 – 1 – Classy Animal faced the best as 3yo. Running style suits

$10 Win and Place 6

Race 6 – Keeneland

#5 Macedon 10 -1 – First time turf horse is by Afleet Alex with Affirmed on the dam side. Afleet Alex has gotten some turf runners to hit first out and the public hasn’t caught on yet. So we will take a fler here.

$10 Win #5

Race 9 – Keenland

#8 Draw it – 20 -1 – Son of Tapit trying synthetic course for first time today. Tapits usually like this surface. Chance at a big price.

$15 Win and Place 8

Race 4 – Hawthorne

#3 Deviant Behavior – 12 -1 – Won a stakes race last year and now meets a field full of question marks. Only problem is long layoff so we will tread lightly.

$10 Win 3

Race 9 Hawthorne

#8 Dooney Rock 12-1 – Had trouble at start in last 4 and lost all chance. Has won at Hawthorne and if he breaks clean he has a shot at huge price.

$10 Win and Place 8

Blow up the board exacta box 5-8-12

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