Thursday, October 31st, 2019...1:37 am
Breeders Cup 2019
Race 4 — F&M Sprint
Tons of speed in the race likely to set it up for closer.
6- Bellafina – 6-1
Could get dream trip and is 4 for 4 at Santa Anita. Advantage local horse.
4 – Come Dancing – 5-2
Running style benefits her. Been facing small fields back east
1 – Covfefe – 2-1
Speed of speed has to outrun the others early and hold off closers.
Chance to hit board – 5- Lady Ninja – 10-1 – Extra distance helps
Race 5 — Turf Sprint
Tough race and is wide open.
Outside posts at the meet on this turf course haven’t fared too well.
3 – Imprimus – 8-1
Could be sitting in garden spot turning for home. Tons of talent. Don’t like jockey switch.
2 – Pure Sensation – 5-1
Classy horse will be gunning for lead. May face pressure but could hold on late.
6 – Stormy Liberal – 8-1
Won this race last year. Should get nice trip
Chance to hit board – 13 – Girls Know best – 20-1 – Tons of speed if draws in and could hang around for share.
Race 6 – Dirt Mile
1 – Giant Expectations – 12-1
Faced the best company in the field and has consistent (and good) speed figs. Can sit off the pace, save ground, and be in the mix late for the upset.
5 – Omaha Beach – 8-5
Likely favorite would best be served rating today. Could win easy in very suspect field, comprised mainly of 3yos.
6 – Ambassadorial – 30-1
Blow up the board with this one. First Lasix for a horse well bred for dirt.
Chance to hit board – 3 – Spun to Run – 6-1 – Improving 3yo may get the set up needed.
Race 7 – F&M Turf
2 – Sistercharlie – 8-5
Won 6 in a row and should get the set up again
10 – Mrs Sippy – 8-1
Has done well turning back and here in US with Lasix
3 – Fleeting – 6-1
3yo should like the distance.
Chance to hit board – 4 – Billesdon Brook 10-1 – Faced some of the best last year
Race 8 – Sprint
9 – Imperial Hint – 4-1
Dream set up off likely fast pace.
3 – Firenze Fire – 12-1
Would benefit the most if the pace is blistering, and has tons of talent
4 – Mitole – 9-5
One to beat but could take pace pressure to his outside
Chance to Hit Board – 6 – Shancelot – 4-1 – Speed of speed is a freak. Jockey tactics key
Race 9 – TVG Turf Mile
Wide open race. Total crapshoot.
11 – Uni – 7-2
Most consistent US horse in race and trained by Chad Brown.
6 Got Stormy – 7-2
Speed figs getting better each race
2 – Lucullan – 12-1
Can save ground and get up late for a share.
Chance to hit Board – 1 – Suedois – Will need to work out a trip but really liked the US debut in last. Worth a flyer for longshot players.
Race 10 – Distaff
FAV looks tough here. Field is loaded with speed so I am leaning towards the closers underneath.
4 – Midnight Bisou – 6-5
The most likely favorite to win on the day should get nice set up and loves this track.
11 – Blue Prize – 6-1
Faced Elate many times and should be closing late.
9 – Serengeti Empress – 12-1
Likely speed of speed has options with outside post. I’m tossing last as PARX strip is often quirky.
Chance to Hit Board – 6 – Wow Cat – 12-1 – Race set up works to her advantage
Race 11 – Breeders Cup Turf
10 – Old Persian – 4-1
Euros seem to dominate this race and firm footing is only question.
9 – Bricks and Mortar – 9-5
Monster horse loves to win. Stretchout may hurt chances with slower pace
11 – Arklow – 12-1
Great value bet on this one at these odds. Can get decent trip here, stalking and pouncing.
Chance to Hit Board – 1 – Zulu Alpha – 20-1 – Hard knocker can hit the board at big price.
Race 12 – Breeders Cup Classic
Not much speed in this one so I expect the pace to be slower than most think. Being around the lead will be key.
10 – Vino Rosso – 4-1
Trip is key as he will get first jump on the closers and could have enough in tank to hold them off. Has a win over track which is a plus.
8 – Mckinzie – 3-1
Lukewarm favorite loves this track and the extra distance is the only wildcard.
5 – Yoshida – 8-1
Will be closing late to earn a share.
Chance to hit board – 2 – Seeking the Soul – 20-1 – Pilot to bombardier special to run a big race here. Had excuses in past few and I love the back class here facing a very weak classic field
Also Consider Underneath :
6 – Elate – 6-1
Always gives it her all and faces boys today. Can hit board.
11 – Code of Honor – 4-1
May not get fast pace and will have too much to do late to earn the win.
GOOD LUCK !!!!
Whitey
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